Biological Conservation
○ Elsevier BV
Preprints posted in the last 90 days, ranked by how well they match Biological Conservation's content profile, based on 46 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.04% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.
Banerjee, A.
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Over the past two decades, significant population recoveries of tigers and leopards have driven a substantial rise in human-carnivore conflict across South Asia. Sustaining the long-term conservation of both species demands effective, adaptive conflict management. However, existing research is largely confined to isolated landscapes or protected areas, hindering the identification of spatial conflict drivers across broader, heterogeneous regions. To address this gap, this study compiled 4,457 human leopard conflict (HLC) and 2,563 human tiger conflict (HTC) records spanning 2000 to 2024 across Bangladesh, Bhutan, India, and Nepal. We evaluated conflict locations against 33 landscape, anthropogenic, climatic, topographic, and hydrological predictors across three spatial scales using binomial generalized linear regression models and three alternative background sampling methods. Model performance peaked at the largest spatial scale for both species and remained consistent across sampling strategies. HTC correlated positively with forest fragmentation and proximity to human settlements, but decreased with higher overall anthropogenic disturbance. Conversely, HLC concentrated in highly productive, high-precipitation, human-modified landscapes. These contrasting spatial patterns highlight distinct ecological responses to habitat modification and carry unique conservation implications. Ultimately, this study underscores the need to integrate carnivore abundance, wild prey densities, and socioeconomic factors to achieve a holistic understanding of conflict dynamics.
Waters, T.; Gold, Z.; Parker, E.; Simon, O.; Jenny, L.; Ambrose, R. F.; Barber, P. H.; Eagle, R. A.
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Management of marine protected areas (MPAs) require long-term monitoring and evaluation that is often limited by the cost and effort of conventional visual based surveys. We evaluated a community science-based eDNA approach to MPA monitoring over two years in the Point Dume State Marine Reserve, the Point Dume State Marine Conservation Area, and two paired unprotected reference sites. Across the sampling period, we detected 119 species of fish and marine mammals, including 19 of the 22 regional management-priority species for Southern CA MPAs. Protected and unprotected comparison sites were broadly similar in overall assemblage with 93 species shared across all sites. Multivariate analyses revealed site-level differences, although season and year explained more variation than protection status. Species presence also shifted during a La-Nina transition, highlighting the importance of long-term monitoring under different climatological contexts. Community scientists greatly expanded the temporal and spatial scope of eDNA sampling and generated high-quality data. Subsampling analysis showed that quarterly sampling, with three sample replicates and sequencing depths between 700k-990k, recovered 95% of observed biodiversity of the full time series. These results demonstrate that a community science-based eDNA program could provide a standardized, scalable, low-cost, and management-relevant approach for long-term monitoring across California's MPA network.
Freitas, G. I.; Rodrigues, C. E.; Carvalho, D. E. V. d.; Utsunomia, R.; Porto-Foresti, F.
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International wildlife trade represents one of the major drivers of biodiversity exploitation worldwide. However, the true taxonomic diversity embedded within commercial wildlife products often remains unknown because processing removes diagnostic morphological characteristics, preventing reliable species identification. Consequently, biodiversity assessments based solely on product labels may substantially underestimate the diversity of species involved in trade networks. To investigate hidden biodiversity within wildlife trade products, we applied DNA barcoding based on the mitochondrial cytochrome c oxidase subunit I (COI) gene to 77 products commercialized as fish swim bladders and seized at Guarulhos International Airport, Brazil. Molecular analyses successfully identified all samples and revealed the presence of four species: Plagioscion auratus (n = 38), Cynoscion acoupa (n = 7), Melanosuchus niger (n = 17), and Caiman crocodilus (n = 15). Fish species accounted for 71.4% of all samples, whereas crocodilians represented 28.6%, demonstrating that products marketed under a single commercial category may conceal substantial taxonomic diversity. Notably, the occurrence of two Amazonian crocodilian species within a trade chain traditionally associated with fish products reveals a previously undocumented component of the international wildlife trade. Our findings demonstrate that DNA barcoding is an effective tool for uncovering hidden biodiversity within processed wildlife products and provide evidence that wildlife trade networks may involve a broader spectrum of species than suggested by commercial labels. These results highlight the importance of molecular surveillance for biodiversity monitoring, wildlife trade regulation, and conservation planning.
Elias, M. A. M.; Soares, P. T.; Diniz-Filho, J. A. F.; de Almeida Jacomo, A. T.; Silveira, T. J.; Silveira, L.
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Understanding how scientific effort is distributed is essential for evaluating the evidence available to guide species conservation. We assessed the temporal, thematic, methodological, and spatial organization of jaguar (Panthera onca) research across the species range. Using 1,028 bibliographic records, we applied a metadata-based scope filter, defining a primary analytical corpus of 857 articles and an inclusive sensitivity corpus of 989. We analyzed publication growth from 1946-2024, author-keyword networks, high-specificity research-domain and methodological indicators, article-based spatial concentration across nine regions, and anthropogenic context using the Human Impact Index. Publication output increased strongly and nonlinearly, with the negative-binomial generalized additive model explaining 96% of deviance. Population and abundance, human-wildlife conflict and coexistence, and movement and connectivity were the most frequent research domains, whereas camera trapping was the most frequent methodological approach. Spatial analyses included 237 georeferenced terrestrial articles. Research was strongly concentrated in the Pantanal, Mesoamerica, and Atlantic Forest, but was underrepresented relative to range area in the Andes and Choco-Darien, Amazon, and Guiana Shield. These patterns were stable to the broader scope definition. Research concentration showed no strong association with region-wide anthropogenic pressure, although studies within several extensive regions tended to occur in more human-influenced portions than the regional average. Jaguar research therefore shows substantial growth and partial alignment with applied conservation challenges but remains geographically uneven. Expanding representative research in underrepresented regions, while maintaining work in threatened landscapes, would strengthen the evidence base for range-wide conservation planning and improve coordination among countries, institutions, and regional research traditions.
Ganguly, D.; Sharma, A. D.; Ramakrishnan, U.; Srivathsa, A.
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Reliable estimates of population size are fundamental to understanding wildlife population status and informing conservation. Obtaining such estimates remains challenging for unmarked species, particularly in tropical countries where logistical and financial constraints limit intensive monitoring. The endangered dhole (Cuon alpinus), a highly social canid without natural markings, is one such species for which robust population estimates remain scarce. We estimated dhole density in the Valparai plateau, a human-dominated agroforest-forest mosaic in India's Western Ghats. We compared Spatially Explicit Capture-Recapture (SECR) models based on individual identification from fecal DNA and Space-to-Event (STE) models based on camera-trap detections. We additionally applied both approaches to individually identifiable leopards (Panthera pardus) to cross-validate STE versus SECR estimates. SECR estimated dhole density at 22 individuals per 100 sq.km, with STE estimates varying substantially depending on how the camera viewshed area was defined. STE estimates based on post hoc viewshed measurements, particularly after reducing the viewshed by 10%, were comparable to SECR estimates. In contrast, STE underestimated leopard density relative to SECR (7 versus 12 per 100 sq.km), although uncertainty intervals overlapped. Ecologically, our results indicate that human-use agroforest mosaics can support dhole densities comparable to, or exceeding, those reported from several Protected Areas, highlighting their potential importance for dhole conservation. More broadly, we argue that STE models may offer a practical and relatively inexpensive approach for baseline monitoring of dholes from camera-trap surveys, but their reliability depends strongly on accurate characterization of the effective viewshed and may vary across species and landscapes.
Chen, Y.; Zhang, W.; Zou, H.-X.; Shi, X.; Liu, Y.
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Citizen science data are increasingly used to infer biodiversity change, but causal claims based on such data are credible only if sampling effort and its temporal shifts are explicitly modeled. Zhang et al. (1) used citizen science data to conclude that greater photovoltaic policy stringency, measured using the photovoltaic policy stringency index (PSI), reduced county-level bird diversity in China. We reproduced their fixed effects and instrumental variable estimates. However, the observed Shannon diversity derived from pooled citizen science records reflects both bird communities and sampling effort, which the authors' controls do not adequately capture. Accounting for observer count changed the reported statistically significant 2.10% decline in Shannon index to a nonsignificant 0.58% increase (P = 0.288) per one-standard-deviation increase in PSI, and rendered the instrumental variable estimate statistically indistinguishable from zero (P = 0.912). Yet observer count is only one of many sources of sampling bias. PSI was also associated with multiple dimensions of sampling effort, consistent with sampling effort acting as a potential mediator in the PSI-diversity chain. The sampling domain also shifted markedly from 2014 to 2023: recorded county-months increased almost 24-fold, median observer count rose from one to three, and zero-duration records declined from 57.2% to 0.17%. Without adequate adjustment, these shifts confound estimates of temporal change in observed bird diversity. Beyond its inadequate treatment of sampling effort, the original study also misinterpreted its statistical results. Although the reported R{superscript 2} values are high, they are dominated by county and year-month fixed effects, with PSI contributing a partial R{superscript 2} of only 0.048% on observed Shannon index. The PSI-photovoltaic-area correlation is also weak (r = 0.0414) and vanishes after accounting for fixed effects (P = 0.977). Furthermore, the released bird observation data contain many erroneous outliers, raising significant concerns about insufficiently rigorous data preprocessing and quality control. These results show that the released data cannot properly distinguish ecological change from sampling effort change. Robust inference from citizen science data requires checklist-level effort metadata, explicit correction for spatiotemporal sampling shifts, and close collaboration among researchers with complementary methodological and ecological expertise.
Bajaj, D.; Khanyari, M.; Jaggi, H.; Chhering, T.; Chunit, K.; Gurmet, K.; Thinley, T.; Thuktan, T.; Tobge, R.; Sharma, D.; Mishra, C.; Sharma, R. K.; Suryawanshi, K.
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Across High Asia, snow leopards Panthera uncia share habitats with pastoralists and consume both wild and domestic herbivores. Increasing wild prey is vital for predator conservation, but its effect on livestock depredation is unclear: it could decrease depredation through apparent facilitation or increase it through apparent competition. We investigated this association using a 13-year time series dataset from Upper Spiti Landscape in the Indian Trans-Himalaya. Long-term data on elusive carnivores are rare, making this time series especially valuable for testing predator-mediated interactions. We found higher wild ungulate density was accompanied by significantly greater depredation of free-ranging livestock, and this association remained positive after bootstrapping to account for uncertainty in density estimates. These results suggest snow leopard-mediated apparent competition between wild and domestic herbivores. We recommend conservation efforts that increase wild prey must also integrate effective livestock protection and support strategies to enhance coexistence between predators, prey and pastoralists.
Srivathsa, A.; Shukla, M.; Saravanan, P.; Ganguly, D.; Mohan, M.; Ramakrishnan, U.
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Monitoring populations is fundamental for conserving threatened carnivores, but can be difficult to sustain in the long term across large landscapes. We present a collaborative framework for monitoring dholes (Cuon alpinus) in India's Western Ghats, combining fecal DNA-based individual identification, Spatially Explicit Capture-Recapture (SECR) models, state Forest Department participation, and trained citizen-volunteers. We surveyed across six sites between 2019-2023, encompassing three Protected Areas (Wayanad, Parambikulam, Periyar) and their adjacent Territorial Divisions. Fecal samples were genotyped using a panel of 96 Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms, and detections were analyzed using SECR models to estimate densities. In Wayanad Sanctuary, densities remained stable across 2019, 2022 and 2023, increasing marginally from 15.67 to 19.01 individuals per 100 sq.km. In 2023, densities varied substantially among six sites, from 9.73/100 sq.km in Parambikulam to 29.23 in Nemmara Territorial Division. Field implementation involved an average of 46 Forest Department personnel co-collecting data per site-year. Among former citizen-volunteers who were surveyed for project feedback (N=29), 83% went on to either work or pursue higher education in wildlife-related or -adjacent fields. We demonstrate that molecular individual identification coupled with SECR can provide a practical basis for dhole population assessments while enabling multi-stakeholder participation in field monitoring. Sustained engagement with wildlife managers and locally recruited volunteers can strengthen institutional capacity, facilitate knowledge exchange, and improve continuity of monitoring programs. We argue that integrating molecular ecology with collaborative governance and democratizing field-science offers a scalable pathway for landscape-level monitoring required to guide dhole conservation.
Lewis, D.; Lifshitz, N.
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1. This study analyzed 21 years (2000-2025) of butterfly count data from Central Alberta, integrated with intensive 5-year (2021-2025) high-resolution intra-seasonal sampling. 2. Long-term macro-scale analysis revealed a significant decline in Shannon Diversity, a change that remained obscured when relying solely on traditional metrics of species richness and evenness. 3. This diversity decline was primarily driven by the severe, long-term collapse of the native Common Ringlet (Coenonympha tullia). 4. Four other dominant species--Cabbage White (Pieris rapae), Clouded Sulphur (Colias eriphyle), European Skipper (Thymelicus lineola), and Common Wood Nymph (Cercyonis pegala)--maintained long-term population stability, though their abundances were significantly constrained by extreme winter minimum temperatures and rapid spring warming. 5. High-resolution intra-seasonal analysis (2021-2025) demonstrated that community indices and species-specific abundances were strongly limited by daily weather, particularly wind velocity and temperature. 6. These findings illustrate that while traditional metrics like richness and evenness are fundamental to community ecology, they provide incomplete insights when applied in isolation; they are most effective when utilized as part of a complementary, multi-scalar framework. 7. This study highlights the necessity of coupling multi-decadal historical datasets with high-frequency, fine-scale sampling to accurately identify the mechanisms of community turnover that simpler metrics may overlook. 8. The results underscore the critical importance of standardized citizen science monitoring in quantifying environmental impacts and establishing conservation priorities for terrestrial insect groups.
Verschueren, S.; Braunisch, V.; Debons, V.; Arlettaz, R.
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Reliable population estimates are essential for wildlife management, yet monitoring schemes often do not match the administrative scale at which decisions are made. We illustrate this challenge using the Eurasian lynx in the canton of Valais, Switzerland, where official state monitoring is fragmented across three reference areas surveyed in different years. We analyzed three winters (2023-2026) of independent, canton-wide camera trap data, recording 899 independent lynx captures (27, 31 and 34 adults per winter). Lynx distribution and reproduction concentrated in the Northwest and connected to the thriving Pre-alpine populations. Density modelling for 2025/2026 estimated 37 independent lynx (95% CI: 26-52) on the whole cantonal territory, corresponding to a density of 1.09 (0.77-1.56) individuals per 100 km2. These estimates are substantially below the figures improperly extrapolated from a cross-cantonal reference area and conveyed by political authorities. Future lynx management decisions should be rooted in scientifically sound, scale-relevant information.
Sondagar, R.; Tanwar, K. S.; Thangavel, M.; Hayward, M.; Qureshi, Q.
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Urban protected areas (PAs) have become important habitats for wildlife in rapidly expanding human-dominated landscapes. These PAs may provide refuge and continuously abundant resources, which may enable some adaptable carnivores to persist and attain high abundances. However, little is known about the population ecology and interactions between carnivores sharing such spatially restricted and disturbed urban habitats. We evaluated the densities and spatio-temporal interactions of leopards (Panthera pardus) and striped hyenas (Hyaena hyaena) in Jhalana-Amagarh Conservation Reserve, a protected area (PA) embedded within the metropolis of Jaipur, India. During May-July 2025, we deployed 30 paired camera-traps and used spatially explicit capture-recapture models to estimate density and individual activity centres. We further quantified their diel activity and temporal overlap using kernel density estimation. Leopard density was estimated at 7.03 {+/-} 1.31 individuals/10 km sq and striped hyena density at 4.06 {+/-} 0.96 individuals/10 km sq, with activity centres of both species occurring in close proximity and frequently towards the reserve periphery. Both species were predominantly nocturnal and showed high temporal overlap ({Delta}4 = 0.801, CI=0.73-0.86). Our results report exceptionally high leopard and striped hyena densities in an urban PA and exemplify the importance of small PAs within rapidly expanding cities, stressing the need for finer-scale studies more broadly to understand the mechanisms shaping interactions between the two species. However, such systems require careful management of food subsidies, habitat quality and connectivity along with long-term monitoring of population viability, disease dynamics and human-wildlife conflict.
Nguyen, T. M. T.; Pham, T. N.; Vu, V. L. V. L.; Le, B. T.; Molleman, F.
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1. Assessing the conservation value of secondary forests and reforestation is important for conservation planning. Butterflies are widely used as indicators, and fruit-feeding butterflies are often used in biodiversity assessments in tropical landscapes. 2. We examined fruit-feeding butterfly diversity, abundance, and community composition across a primary forest, a secondary forest, and a plantation forest in northern Vietnam. We sampled butterflies nearly monthly during one year using baited traps. 3. Primary and secondary forest supported higher species richness than plantation forest. Moreover, while secondary forest had mainly a subset of species found in primary forest, the plantation forest had a distinct butterfly fauna. 4. Butterfly abundance and community composition varied across months, without showing a clear seasonal pattern. 5. Our results suggest that secondary and plantation forests do not fully replace primary forests, but they contribute meaningfully to butterfly conservation in human-modified tropical landscapes.
Kouakou, J.-L.; Assemien Cyrille-Joseph, A.; Alphonse, Y. K.; Ouattara, A.; Diarrassouba, A.; Gonedele-Bi, S.
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The accelerated loss of biodiversity in sub-Saharan Africa threatens the functioning of tropical ecosystems. In Cote dIvoire, the Comoe National Park (PNCOMOE), a Sudano-Guinean savannah, and the Tai National Park (PNTAI), a dense rainforest, both UNESCO World Heritage Sites, are home to fauna assemblages of global importance, whose long-term resilience remains insufficiently quantified. This study assesses and compares, over a decade (2014-2025), the functional stability of vertebrate communities in these two contrasting ecosystems, using nine metrics covering resistance, invariance, persistence, interspecific synchrony, Tilmans stability, Jacobian resilience and a Composite Stability Index (CSI). Abundance data for 107 vertebrate species were collected via foot transects at PNTAI and aerial surveys at PNCOMOE. The stability metrics were calculated using the R package estar, integrated with an alpha diversity analysis (Shannon H', species richness S, Pielous evenness J') and a Jacobian spectral analysis within a multidimensional ecological assessment. PNTAI (0.708) exhibits significantly higher alpha diversity (H' = 2.82; S = 55.7 taxa) and community resilience 4.6 times higher than in the PNCOMOE (0.153). Its interspecific asynchrony index (0.504) reveals a strong portfolio effect, absent in the PNCOMOE (0.232). In contrast, PNCOMOE exhibits higher temporal invariance (0.382 versus 0.116) and Tilman stability (0.276 versus 0.152), reflecting more predictable dynamics. The overall ICS favours the PNTAI (0.484) and (0.370). The Jacobian analysis detects local instability in both parks (Re({lambda}max) = 5.58 at the PNTAI; 3.73 at the PNCOMOE). The two parks exhibit distinct yet complementary stability architectures: PNTAI relies on dynamic stability based on resilience and interspecific compensation, whilst PNCOMOE demonstrates conservative stability through temporal regularity. The absence of calculable resilience at PNCOMOE suggests a potential crossing of a functional degradation threshold, arguing for urgent restoration interventions and differentiated conservation strategies, tailored to the resilience mechanisms specific to each ecosystem.
Restrepo, J.; Evans, D. R.; Garcia-Varela, R.; Liu, A.; Neubert, S.; Cordero-Umana, K. E.; Bentley, L. K.; Richardson, A. J.; Seminoff, J. A.; Valverde, R. A.; Dunn, D. C.
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The conservation of migratory marine megavertebrates depends on the protection of different areas during their life cycles. Many populations have recovered following exploitation-driven declines. Green turtles exemplify successful efforts protecting reproductive populations, reducing harvesting, promoting population recoveries globally. Tortuguero, Costa Rica, the second largest rookeries for green turtles worldwide, implemented long-term conservation efforts leading to a population recovery, which is now in decline. This study investigates migratory connectivity of green turtles from Tortuguero across the Caribbean, and the role marine protected areas (MPAs) play in protecting key habitats supporting this population. Over 25 years, we satellite tagged 63 female green turtles to study their internesting and post-nesting foraging movements. Applying a state-space model, we calculated a movement-persistence index, to separate internesting and foraging periods. We calculated turtles' utilization distribution areas for both periods. To assess the protection coverage at each end of the migration, we calculated time spent within and outside MPAs. Tracked turtles spent a median of 42.3 days (SD=18.8, range=12-80) within 30 km offshore before departing the internesting area, spending just 23.0% of time within nearby MPAs. After nesting, turtles migrated to 14 different foraging areas, Miskitos Cays, Nicaragua hosted the most turtles (n=23). Mean transmission time in foraging areas was 175.6 days (SD=126.0; range=13-544). Generally, turtles foraged 58.0% of the time within MPAs boundaries; however, ~32% of tracked turtles foraged outside MPAs. Considering all known stressors, we found this population to be insufficiently protected at either end of their migratory cycle, remaining vulnerable to regional threats.
Johnson, A.; Walsh, R. L.; Foquet, B.; Daniels, J. C.; Guralnick, R. P.; Kawahara, A. Y.
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Assessing the availability of protected habitats for at-risk species is needed to determine how the spatial distribution of land cover and land use shapes conservation outcomes. The Loammi skipper (Atrytonopsis loammi) is a nonmigratory, prairie-associated butterfly that has experienced a significant reduction in its formerly widespread southeastern United States distribution over the past several decades. Observations in recent years have been limited to a small number of isolated Florida populations, and it is unclear how much suitable habitat remains and what proportion of that habitat is protected. Here we used publicly available community science data and collected specimens to identify the predominant land cover types occupied by A. loammi. We then quantified the extent to which each of these land cover types overlap with protected areas to estimate the proportion of the butterflys current distribution that occurs on managed conservation lands. Our findings show that A. loammi relies heavily on protected lands, with over half of the total area of the most strongly associated habitats located within protected areas. Given the continued expansion of human-modified landscapes in Florida and the reliance of A. loammi on protected lands, the long-term persistence of A. loammi will likely depend on the conservation and effective management of its remaining suitable habitat. Implications for insect conservationOur results highlight the critical role of protected areas in sustaining at-risk insect populations, particularly for species with limited dispersal and shrinking ranges. More broadly, they suggest that conserving and restoring protected habitats while maintaining connectivity are essential strategies for effective insect conservation in rapidly developing regions.
Momeni-Dehaghi, I.; Fahrig, L.; Mitchell, G. W.; Rytwinski, T.; Hanson, J. O.; Bennett, J. R.
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The charismatic migratory monarch butterfly population has declined dramatically, likely precipitated by loss of its breeding host plants (milkweed). Whether restoring milkweed would allow monarch recovery depends on whether additional factors currently limit the population. We investigated road mortality as one such factor. Monarchs cross thousands of roads during fall migration, and traffic volume has increased sharply while the population has plummeted. Using estimates of pre-migration distribution, flight patterns, and road traffic, we estimate that at least 61% (range 61% to 99.99%) of migrating monarchs are road-killed each fall. Although there is high uncertainty in our estimate, its magnitude suggests that roadkill could inhibit recovery of the population. Recovery planning should not only consider increasing the monarchs host plants, but must also address the reality of roadkill.
Pedersen, S.; Sage, R. B.; Woodburn, M. I. A.; Coomes, J. R.; Werling, J.; Tyler, C. R.
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The red fox, Vulpes vulpes, is abundant in England and can exert limiting effects on their avian and mammalian prey. Large-scale gamebird releases in the UK may be sustaining high predator numbers, leading to greater predation on other prey species, especially once gamebird stocks are depleted. However, little is known how gamebird release affects the broader diet of the red fox. Here we used DNA metabarcoding to assess the diet of foxes from 18 agricultural estates in Southern England, 10 of which released large numbers of gamebirds (red-legged partridges - Alectoris rufus, and common pheasants - Phasianus colchicus) and 8 which did not. Scats were collected over one year, allowing for seasonal investigation of the foxes' diet. We investigated the vertebrate species consumed and compared the non-gamebird dietary diversity and composition between release and non-release estates and across seasons. The field vole (Microtus agrestis) was found to be the most frequently predated species overall. Brown hares and field voles were detected more on release sites, while bank voles and dog faeces were detected more on non-release sites. We found little evidence that foxes predate ground nesting birds or other species of concern. The dietary diversity was significantly lower on estates that released gamebirds, and this difference was most notable during the post-shoot, spring months (February to April). On both estate types, diversity was highest in the summer months. The altered predatory behaviour due to gamebird release is likely to affect the populations of the non-game prey of the red fox and this should be considered when designing policies regarding gamebird management and biodiversity conservation. Alternative predation combined with predator control may be reducing predation pressure on non-game prey where gamebirds are released, but high fox density elsewhere likely results in higher predation pressure on a wide range of species.
Srutova, J.; Tkacova, N.; Cetkovska, E.; Eliasova, K.; Veselovska, L.; Ungrova, L.; Montoya, K.; Skrobanek, M.; Mateju, P.; Dula, M.; Vorel, A.; Mokry, J.; Mikslova, K.; Collet, S.; Nowak, C.; Rolle, F.; Marucco, F.; Szewczyk, M.; Myslajek, R.; Nowak, S.; Findo, S.; Antal, V.; Kutal, M.; Jelinkova, J.; Bolfikova, B. C.; Hulva, P.
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Here we describe substantial range shifts of historically differentiated wolf populations and formation of novel sympatric zones during the recent decade in Central Europe. This region provides a natural laboratory for testing alternative scenarios of population interactions from continued isolation or restricted gene flow to progressive population fusion, while prompting a reassessment of their geographic ranges. Based on sampling across the Czech Republic and Slovakia obtained from large-scale monitoring programmes over five wolf years (2020/21_2024/25), complemented by comparative material from neighbouring regions, we analysed mitochondrial haplotypes, autosomal microsatellite genotypes and sex-linked loci. The Central European population with Baltic ancestry predominated across large parts of Central Europe including the Bohemian Massif with enclaves in the Western Carpathians. The Carpathian population was predominant in Slovakia, with a smaller satellite occurrence in the northern part of the Bohemian Massif. Alpine population was centred in the Alps but extended into southern parts of Bohemian Massif and Central German Uplands. Following the sporadic occurrence of admixed individuals, broad mosaic and dynamic sympatric zones have formed in the Czech Republic and Slovakia in the last decade. These scenarios could be facilitated by the presence of intermediate habitats and isolation of the Bohemian Massif structural basin, framed by a massive ring fault system. Recent-immigration estimates are asymmetric, with the largest mean contributions from the Alpine to the Central European population and from the Central European to the Carpathian population, with the second case potentially linked to source-sink dynamics driven by the hunting pressure within the Carpathian population (whereas the others are protected year-round). Whether increasing admixture will enhance viability of populations (that currently have small effective sizes) through genetic rescue or carry risks of outbreeding depression remains uncertain, highlighting the need for continued transboundary monitoring within conservation biology framework.
Macadam, C. R.
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The Community Conservation Index (CCI) developed by Chadd and Extence (2004) has been widely used to assess the conservation value of freshwater macroinvertebrate assemblages by integrating species rarity and community richness into a single metric. However, the original conservation scoring system was based largely on historical rarity designations and regional distribution data that no longer reflect current conservation assessments or recording coverage. This paper presents a comprehensive revision of the Conservation Scores underpinning the CCI. Species scores were updated using the latest IUCN-compliant Red List assessments for British freshwater invertebrates. For taxa classified as Least Concern, Data Deficient, or lacking a recent conservation assessment, scores were derived from national occurrence data across Great Britain for the period 1995-2024 using hectad occupancy. In addition, all non-native species were assigned a conservation score of zero to ensure they do not contribute positively to site conservation value. The revised dataset includes 1,680 taxa, compared with 1,117 in the original index, with 755 taxa receiving Conservation Scores for the first time. Thirty non-native taxa were assigned a score of zero. Among previously scored taxa, 165 received higher scores, 576 received lower scores, and 184 remained unchanged. The predominance of score reductions reflects improved knowledge of species distributions and the replacement of historical rarity classifications with contemporary assessments based on conservation status and national frequency of taxon occupancy. The revised CCI maintains the original strengths of combining rarity and richness while improving transparency, consistency and ecological relevance. By incorporating current Red List assessments, Great Britain-wide distribution data and revised treatment of non-native species, the updated index provides a more robust and nationally representative measure of freshwater macroinvertebrate conservation value. It offers an enhanced tool for biodiversity assessment, conservation prioritisation, site designation and environmental decision-making across freshwater ecosystems in Great Britain.
Tomar, S.; Tolle, M. H.; Vos, M.
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Climate change will alter habitat suitability for plant communities in mountain ecosystems of the Western Himalaya. There will be contrasting magnitudes and spatial configurations of these changes for different plant species, and it is an important question how to translate these contrasts into effective climate-proof multi-species conservation planning. This study assessed current habitat associations and projected changes in suitable habitat for two contrasting species, Meconopsis aculeata and Rhododendron campanulatum, in Himachal Pradesh, India. Field surveys and spatially filtered occurrence records were combined with MaxEnt modelling using 10 non-collinear environmental predictors. Habitat suitability was projected to 2050 and 2070 under Shared Socioeconomic Pathways; SSP1-2.6, SSP2-4.5 and SSP5-8.5 using HadGEM3-GC31-LL. Field observations showed contrasting habitat associations, with M. aculeata occurring mainly in open alpine herbaceous communities and R. campanulatum in subalpine woody communities. Elevation was an important predictor for both species while climatic predictors contributed differently to their relative importance and response patterns. Future projections indicated reductions in suitable habitat of approximately 25% for M. aculeata and 27-28% for R. campanulatum. Habitat-change maps showed heterogeneous patterns of loss, gain and persistence rather than uniform contraction, and centroid displacement remained small (7.7-8.5 km). We performed proximity analyses to show which currently suitable areas are most close to areas of future gain, in order to support the design of climate-proof protected areas. We discuss how interspecific differences in response are relevant to multi-species conservation planning that considers the spatial relationship between current high-suitability areas and the gain, loss and redistribution of future suitable habitat.